PESTLE Insights: Ecuador – Macroeconomic Outlook Report

Mining, manufacturing and utilities activities contributed 22.9% to the gross value added (GVA) in 2018, followed by wholesale, retail and hotels (12.6%), and construction (12.1%). In 2019, total value added is expected to contract by 1.1% due to constraints arising from strict fiscal consolidation measures.

The Guayas and Pichincha provinces are the two major regions in Ecuador, accounting for 43% of the total population and 50.9% of total GDP, as per the latest available data

Canada was the largest investing nation in Q12019

Scope

– As per World Bank's logistics performance index (LPI), transport and logistic infrastructure in Ecuador improved over the last two years with an increase in rank from 74th to 62nd out of 160 countries in 2018

– Overall, the Ecuador general index exhibited an upward trend over the last year. As of June 26, 2019, the Ecuador general index stood at 1,361.5, compared to 1,331.5 in June 26, 2018

Reasons to buy

- Macroeconomic Outlook Report identifies the potentials of the country as an investment destination by analyzing the political, economic, social, technological, legal and environmental (PESTLE) structure.

- PESTLE Insights provides 360 degree view of the economy which can be used as a strategic tool to understand the market dynamics, business potentials and direction of operations

- Along with providing the country’s snapshot, the report captures the risk factors pertaining to the macroeconomic risks, political environment, legal environment, demographic and social structure effectiveness, technology & infrastructure and natural and geographic aspects that might impact business.

- This report also highlights key clusters/cities which contribute significantly to the country GDP and population along with major companies’ presence in these areas.

Companies mentioned

Aeromaster

Banco Amazonas

Del Bank

Table of Contents

Table of Contents

List of Exhibits

Did You Know?

Country Highlights

Country Snapshot

PESTLE Insights

Political Landscape

Economic Landscape

Social Landscape

Technological Landscape

Legal Landscape

Environmental Landscape

Outlook

List of Figures

List of Figures

Exhibit 1: Ecuador’s Performance in terms of its Country Risk Analysis in Comparison to Latin America and the World Average

Exhibit 2: Performance Overview (score: 1-100)

Exhibit 3: Broad Categories and Weights Behind the Index

Exhibit 4: Ecuador General Index

Exhibit 5: Key Sectors’ Contribution to the Economy (2014-2021f)

Exhibit 6: Total FDI Inflows (Q12014-Q12019) and FDI by Sector (Q12018-Q12019)

Exhibit 7: FDI by Country (Q12014-Q12019) and Sectors’ Share of Total FDI Inflow (Q12018 and Q12019)

Exhibit 8: Key Infrastructure Indicators

Exhibit 9: Real GDP and Household Consumption Growth Rate (2014-2021f)

Exhibit 10: Real GDP Growth Rate Comparison (2018)

Exhibit 11: Export, Import and Trade Balance (2014-2021f)

Exhibit 12: Current Account Balance (2014-2021f)

Exhibit 13: Top Three Commodity Exports, % of Total Exports (2015-2018)

Exhibit 14: Fish and Crustaceans, Molluscs, and Other Aquatic Invertebrates’ Share of World Exports by Country (2018)

Exhibit 15: Interest Rates (June 2015 – June 2019)

Exhibit 16: Exchange Rate and Inflation Rate (2014-2021f)

Exhibit 17: Public Finance (2014-2021f)

Exhibit 18: General Government Debt (2014-2021f)

Exhibit 19: Employment/Unemployment (2014-2021f)

Exhibit 20: Average Annual Wages (2014-2021f)

Exhibit 21: Labor Force Participation Rate (2014-2021f)

Exhibit 22: Rural/Urban Share of Total Population (1990, 2000, 2010, 2020)

Exhibit 23: Age-group Share of Total Population (1990, 2000, 2010, 2020)

Exhibit 24: Gender Split (1990, 2000, 2010, 2020)

Exhibit 25: Internet Users % of Total Population, Mobile Penetration Rate and Broadband Penetration Rate (2018e)

Exhibit 26: Number of Patents Granted Per Million People (2018)

Exhibit 27: High-technology Exports (% of Manufactured Exports) (2018 or Latest Available Data)

Exhibit 28: Doing Business in Ecuador 2019

Exhibit 29: Corruption Perception Index (2018)

Exhibit 30: CO2 Emissions (2012-2017)

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