Portugal PESTLE Insights – A Macroeconomic Outlook Report

Financial intermediation, real estate and business activities contributed 25.9% to the gross value added (GVA) in 2022, followed by wholesale, retail and hotel activities (20.2%) and mining, manufacturing and utilities activities (17.5%). In nominal terms, the three sectors are expected to grow by 8.4%, 8.4% and 8.3%, respectively, in 2023.

Northern Portugal, Lisbon and Center region together contributed 84.9% of the country’s total GDP in 2021 and accounted for 84.0% of the total population in 2022, according to Eurostat.

Scope

According to the World Bank, Logistics Performance Index (2023), Portugal ranked 38th out of 139 nations in 2023

Reasons to buy

Macroeconomic Outlook Report identifies the potentials of the country as an investment destination by analyzing the political, economic, social, technological, legal and environmental (PESTLE) structure.

PESTLE Insights provides 360 degree view of the economy which can be used as a strategic tool to understand the market dynamics, business potentials and direction of operations

Along with providing the country’s snapshot, the report captures the risk factors pertaining to the macroeconomic risks, political environment, legal environment, demographic and social structure effectiveness, technology & infrastructure and natural and geographic aspects that might impact business.

This report also highlights key clusters/cities which contribute significantly to the country GDP and population along with major companies’ presence in these areas.

Companies mentioned

Altri

Martifer Group

MRG

Table of Contents

List of Exhibits

Did You Know?

Country Highlights

Key Economic Updates

Country Snapshot

Political Landscape

Economic Landscape

Social Landscape

Technological Landscape

Legal Landscape

Environmental Landscape

Outlook

List of Tables

Exhibit 1: Portugal’s performance in terms of its country risk analysis in comparison to West-Europe and the World average

Exhibit 2: Performance overview (score: 0–100)

Exhibit 3: Broad categories and weights behind the index

Exhibit 4: PSI 20 index, (October 2022 – October 2023)

Exhibit 5: Key sectors’ contribution to the economy

Exhibit 6: FDI inflows, FDI outflows, FDI inward stock and FDI outward stock (2018–22)

Exhibit 7: Greenfield FDI projects and net cross border M&A deals (2018–22)

Exhibit 8: Key infrastructure indicators

Exhibit 9: Real GDP and household consumption growth rate (2018–25f)

Exhibit 10: Real GDP growth rate comparison (2022)

Exhibit 11: Volume of exports and imports growth (2018–25f)

Exhibit 12: Current account balance (2018–25f)

Exhibit 13: Top three commodity exports, % of total exports (2018–22)

Exhibit 14: Vehicles and parts thereof, % of world total (2022)

Exhibit 15: Interest rates (September 2018 – September 2023)

Exhibit 16: Exchange rate and inflation (2018–25f)

Exhibit 17: General government deficit (2018–25f)

Exhibit 18: General government debt (2018–25f)

Exhibit 19: Unemployment rate (2018–25f)

Exhibit 20: Average annual wages (2018–25f)

Exhibit 21: Labor cost index (2018–25f)

Exhibit 22: Rural/urban share of total population (1995, 2005, 2015, 2025f)

Exhibit 23: Age-group share of total population (2005, 2015, 2025f)

Exhibit 24: Gender split (1995, 2005, 2015, 2025f)

Exhibit 25: Internet users as a percentage of total population, mobile penetration rate and broadband penetration rate (2022)

Exhibit 26: Number of patents granted per million population (2021)

Exhibit 27: High-technology exports, % of manufactured exports (2021)

Exhibit 28: Rule of law (rankings) 2022

Exhibit 29: Corruption perceptions index (rankings) (2022)

Exhibit 30: Renewable energy capacity (2017–21)

Exhibit 31: CO2 emissions (2018–22)

List of Figures

List of Figures

Exhibit 1: Portugal’s performance in terms of its country risk analysis in comparison to Western Europe and the World

Exhibit 2: Performance overview (score: 1-100)

Exhibit 3: Broad categories and weights behind the index

Exhibit 4: PSI 20 index

Exhibit 5: Key sectors’ contribution to the economy (2017-24f)

Exhibit 6: FDI inflows, FDI outflows, and FDI inward stock, FDI outward stock (2017-21)

Exhibit 7: Value and number of Greenfield FDI projects in Portugal and value and number of net cross border M&A purchases in Portugal (2017-21)

Exhibit 8: Key infrastructure indicators (2019)

Exhibit 9: Real GDP and household consumption growth rate (2017-24f)

Exhibit 10: Real GDP growth rate comparison (2021)

Exhibit 11: Export, import and trade balance (2017-24f)

Exhibit 12: Current account balance (2017-24f)

Exhibit 13: Top three commodity exports, % of total exports (2017-21)

Exhibit 14: Vehicles, % of total exports (2021)

Exhibit 15: Interest rates (September 2017 – September 2022)

Exhibit 16: Exchange rate (2017-24f)

Exhibit 17: General government deficit (2017-24f)

Exhibit 18: General government debt (2017-24f)

Exhibit 19: Unemployment rate (2017-24f)

Exhibit 20: Average annual wages (2017—24f)

Exhibit 21: Labor cost index (2017-24f)

Exhibit 22: Rural/urban share of total population (1995, 2005, 2015, 2025)

Exhibit 23: Age-group share of total population (1995, 2005, 2015, 2025)

Exhibit 24: Gender split (1995, 2005, 2015, 2025)

Exhibit 25: Internet users as a percentage of total population, mobile penetration rate and broadband penetration rate (2021)

Exhibit 26: Number of patents granted per million population (2021)

Exhibit 27: High-technology exports, % of manufactured exports (2020)

Exhibit 28: Doing business in Portugal (2020)

Exhibit 29: Corruption perceptions index (rankings) (2021)

Exhibit 30: CO2 emissions (2017-21)

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