PESTLE Insights: Bulgaria - Macroeconomic Outlook Report

Yugoiztochen, Yugozapaden, Yuzhen tsentralen regions of Bulgaria contributed 66.7% to the country’s GDP and comprise 34.1% of Bulgarian population as of 2017

Financial intermediation, real estate and business activities contributed 23.7% to the gross value added (GVA) in 2018, followed by mining, manufacturing and utilities (23.6%) and wholesale and retail trade (17.2%). During the period 2019-2021, these three sub sectors are forecasted to grow at an average annual rate of 5%, 5.4%, and 5.9%, respectively.

The Netherlands, Hungary and Germany were the top three investors in Bulgaria in 2018

Scope

- As per the World Bank's logistics performance index (LPI), transport and logistic infrastructure in Bulgaria improved significantly, as reflected in improvement in rank from 72nd in 2016 to 52nd in 2018 out of 160 countries

- The Bulgarian Stock Exchange Sofia AD (BSO) index exhibits a downward trend over the last one year. As of March 6, 2019, the index stood at 583, compared to 681.7 on March 6, 2018.

Reasons to buy

- Macroeconomic Outlook Report identifies the potentials of the country as an investment destination by analyzing the political, economic, social, technological, legal and environmental (PESTLE) structure.

- PESTLE Insights provides 360 degree view of the economy which can be used as a strategic tool to understand the market dynamics, business potentials and direction of operations

- Along with providing the country’s snapshot, the report captures the risk factors pertaining to the macroeconomic risks, political environment, legal environment, demographic and social structure effectiveness, technology & infrastructure and natural and geographic aspects that might impact business.

- This report also highlights key clusters/cities which contribute significantly to the country GDP and population along with major companies’ presence in these areas.

Companies mentioned

MKBUnion Bank

Fibank

BH Air

Ontotext

MKBUnion Bank

Fibank

BH Air

Ontotext

Table of Contents

Table of Contents

List of Exhibits

Did you Know?

Country Highlights

Country Snapshot

PESTLE Insights

Political Landscape

Economic Landscape

Social Landscape

Technological Landscape

Legal Landscape ...

Table of Contents

List of Exhibits

Did you Know?

Country Highlights

Country Snapshot

PESTLE Insights

Political Landscape

Economic Landscape

Social Landscape

Technological Landscape

Legal Landscape

Environmental Landscape

Outlook

List of Tables

List of Figures

List of Figures

Exhibit 1: Bulgaria’s Performance in Country Risk Analysis in Comparison to Eastern Europe and the World

Exhibit 2: Performance Overview (Score: 1-100) ...

List of Figures

Exhibit 1: Bulgaria’s Performance in Country Risk Analysis in Comparison to Eastern Europe and the World

Exhibit 2: Performance Overview (Score: 1-100)

Exhibit 3: Broad Categories and Weights behind the Index

Exhibit 4: SOFIX Index

Exhibit 5: Key Sectors Contribution to the Economy (2014-2021f)

Exhibit 6: Net FDI Inflows (2014-2018) and FDI by Sub Sectors (2018)

Exhibit 7: Net FDI Inflows by Countries (2018) and Share of FDI Stock by Countries (2017)

Exhibit 8: Key Infrastructure Indicators

Exhibit 9: Real GDP and Household Consumption Growth Rate (2014-2021f)

Exhibit 10: Real GDP Growth Rate Comparison (2017)

Exhibit 11: Export, Import and Trade Balance (2014-2021f)

Exhibit 12: Current Account Balance (2014-2021f)

Exhibit 13: Top Three Commodity Exports, % of Total Exports, 2014-2017

Exhibit 14: Electrical Machinery and Equipment % of Total Exports 2017

Exhibit 15: Interest Rates (January 2012-February 2019)

Exhibit 16: Exchange Rate (2014-2021f)

Exhibit 17: Public Finance (2014-2021f)

Exhibit 18: General Government Debt (2014-2021f)

Exhibit 19: Employment/Unemployment (2014-2021f)

Exhibit 20: Average Annual Wages (2014-2021f)

Exhibit 21: Labour Cost Index (2014-2021f)

Exhibit 22: Rural/Urban Share in Total Population (2000, 2010, 2020)

Exhibit 23: Age-Group Share of Total Population (2000, 2010, 2020)

Exhibit 24: Gender Split (2000, 2010, 2020)

Exhibit 25: Internet Users % of Total Population, Mobile Penetration Rate and Broadband Penetration Rate, 2017

Exhibit 26: Number of Patents Granted Per Mn Population, 2018

Exhibit 27: High-technology Exports (% of manufactured exports) (2017)

Exhibit 28: Doing Business in Bulgaria 2019

Exhibit 29: Corruption Perception Index (Rankings) 2018

Exhibit 30: CO2 Emissions (2012-2017)

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