China PESTLE Insights – A Macroeconomic Outlook Report

Mining, manufacturing and utilities activities contributed 32.8% to the gross value added (GVA) in 2023, followed by wholesale, retail and hotels activities (11.1%), agricultural activities (7.7%). In nominal terms, the three sectors are expected to grow by 7.9%, 6.7% and 6.2%, respectively, in 2024.

Eastern China accounts for most of the provincial GDP in 2023. Beijing, Shanghai, Jiangsu and Guangzhou are the major cities of Eastern China. Better sea connectivity has boosted manufacturing in these cities.

Scope

In November 2023, the Chinese government announced a plan to invest CNY1 trillion ($140.8 billion) to support the country’s project on disaster relief and construction.

Reasons to buy

Macroeconomic Outlook Report identifies the potentials of the country as an investment destination by analyzing the political, economic, social, technological, legal and environmental (PESTLE) structure.

PESTLE Insights provides 360 degree view of the economy which can be used as a strategic tool to understand the market dynamics, business potentials and direction of operations

Along with providing the country’s snapshot, the report captures the risk factors pertaining to the macroeconomic risks, political environment, legal environment, demographic and social structure effectiveness, technology & infrastructure and natural and geographic aspects that might impact business.

This report also highlights key clusters/cities which contribute significantly to the country GDP and population along with major companies’ presence in these areas.

Companies mentioned

Huawei

PetroChina

Baosteel

Vanke

Table of Contents

Table of Contents

List of Exhibits

Did You Know?

Country Highlights

Key Economic Updates

Country Snapshot

Political Landscape

Economic Landscape

Social Landscape

Technological Landscape

Legal Landscape

Environmental Landscape

Outlook

List of Tables

List of Tables

Exhibit 1: China’s performance in country risk analysis in comparison to Asia-Pacific and World average

Exhibit 2: Performance overview (score: 0-100)

Exhibit 3: Broad categories and weights behind the index

Exhibit 4: SHCOMP index, (March 2023 – March 2024)

Exhibit 5: Key sectors contribution to the economy (2019–26f)

Exhibit 6: FDI inflows to China, FDI outflows from China, and FDI inward stock, FDI outward stock (2018-22)

Exhibit 7: Value and number of greenfield FDI projects and number of net cross border M&As purchases (2018–22)

Exhibit 8: Key infrastructure indicators

Exhibit 9: Real GDP and household consumption growth rate (2019–26f)

Exhibit 10: Real GDP growth rate comparison (2023)

Exhibit 11: Volume of exports and imports growth (2019–26f)

Exhibit 12: Current account balance (2019–26f)

Exhibit 13: Top three commodity exports, % of total exports (2018–22)

Exhibit 14: Electrical machinery and equipment and parts thereof; sound recorders and reproducers, television, % of world total (2022)

Exhibit 15: Interest rates (April 2019 – April 2024)

Exhibit 16: Exchange rate and inflation (2019–26f)

Exhibit 17: Public finance (2019–26f)

Exhibit 18: General government debt (2019–26f)

Exhibit 19: Unemployment rate (2019–26f)

Exhibit 20: Average annual wages (2019–26f)

Exhibit 21: Labor cost index (2019–26f)

Exhibit 22: Rural/urban share of total population (1995, 2005, 2015, 2025f)

Exhibit 23: Age-group share of total population (1995, 2005, 2015, 2025f)

Exhibit 24: Gender split (1995, 2005, 2015, 2025f)

Exhibit 25: Internet users as a percentage of total population, mobile penetration rate and broadband penetration rate (2023)

Exhibit 26: Number of patents granted per million population (2022)

Exhibit 27: High technology exports, % of manufactured exports (2022)

Exhibit 28: Rule of law index (rankings) 2023

Exhibit 29: Corruption perceptions index (rankings) (2023)

Exhibit 30: Renewable energy, installed capacity (2019–23)

Exhibit 31: CO2 emissions (2018–22)

List of Figures

List of Figures

Exhibit 1: China’s performance in terms of its country risk analysis in comparison to Asia Pacific and the World

Exhibit 2: Performance overview (Score: 1-100)

Exhibit 3: Broad categories and weights behind the index

Exhibit 4: Shanghai SE Composite Index (SHCOMP INDEX), March 2021 – March 2022

Exhibit 5: Key sectors; contribution to the economy (2017-2024f)

Exhibit 6: FDI flows and FDI stock (2017-2020)

Exhibit 7: Cross border Mergers & Acquisitions (2017-2020) and announced greenfield investments (2017-2020)

Exhibit 8: Key infrastructure indicators

Exhibit 9: Real GDP and household consumption growth rate (2017-2024f)

Exhibit 10: Real GDP growth rate comparison (2021)

Exhibit 11: Exports, imports and trade balance (2017-2024f)

Exhibit 12: Current account balance (2017-2024f)

Exhibit 13: Top three commodity exports, % of total exports, (2016-2020)

Exhibit 14: Electrical machinery and parts thereof % share of world’s total (2020)

Exhibit 15: Inflation rates (2017 – 2024f)

Exhibit 16: Exchange rate (2017-2024f)

Exhibit 17: General government net lending/borrowing (2017-2024f)

Exhibit 18: General government gross debt (2017-2024f)

Exhibit 19: Unemployment rate (2017-2024f))

Exhibit 20: Average annual wages (2017-2024f))

Exhibit 21: Labor cost index (2017-2024f)

Exhibit 22: Rural/urban share of total population (2005, 2015, 2025)

Exhibit 23: Age-group share of total population (2005, 2015, 2025)

Exhibit 24: Gender split (2005, 2015, 2025)

Exhibit 25: Internet users as % of the total population, mobile and broadband penetration rates (2021)

Exhibit 26: Number of patents granter per million people (2020)

Exhibit 27: Research and development expenditure (% of GDP) 2020

Exhibit 28: Doing business in China 2020

Exhibit 29: Corruption perceptions index (rankings) (2020)

Exhibit 30: Renewable energy, installed capacity (2016-2020)

Exhibit 31: CO2 emissions (2016-2020)

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