Iran PESTLE Insights – A Macroeconomic Outlook Report

Mining, manufacturing, and utilities contributed 32.2% to Iran’s gross value added (GVA) in 2022, followed by agriculture (13%) and wholesale, retail, and hotel activities (11.9%). In nominal terms, the three sectors are forecast to grow by 41.3%, 41.4%, and 41.4%, respectively, in 2023.

Tehran generated around 26.3% of Iran’s GDP and was home to 16.6% of the country’s population as of 2022, according to the MarketLine cities database.

Scope

In May 2023, President Ebrahim Raisi inaugurated an investment project worth IRR2.9 trillion ($68.4 million), which includes 11 electricity projects and water supply lines to 155 rural areas of the country.

Reasons to buy

Macroeconomic Outlook Report identifies the potentials of the country as an investment destination by analyzing the political, economic, social, technological, legal and environmental (PESTLE) structure.

PESTLE Insights provides 360 degree view of the economy which can be used as a strategic tool to understand the market dynamics, business potentials and direction of operations

Along with providing the country’s snapshot, the report captures the risk factors pertaining to the macroeconomic risks, political environment, legal environment, demographic and social structure effectiveness, technology & infrastructure and natural and geographic aspects that might impact business.

This report also highlights key clusters/cities which contribute significantly to the country GDP and population along with major companies’ presence in these areas.

Companies mentioned

IKCO

Saipa

Table of Contents

Table of Contents

List of Exhibits

Did You Know?

Country Highlights

Key Economic Updates

Country Snapshot

Political Landscape

Economic Landscape

Social Landscape

Technological Landscape

Legal Landscape

Environmental Landscape

Outlook

List of Tables

Exhibit 1: Iran’s performance in country risk analysis in comparison to Middle East and North Africa and the World average

Exhibit 2: Performance overview (Score: 1-100)

Exhibit 3: Broad categories and weights behind the index

Exhibit 4: Iran TEDPIX index, (July 2022 – July 2023)

Exhibit 5: Key sectors contribution to the economy (2017–24f)

Exhibit 6: FDI inflows, FDI outflows, FDI inward stock and FDI outward stock (2018–22)

Exhibit 7: Key infrastructure indicators (2020)

Exhibit 8: Real GDP and household consumption growth rate (2018–25f)

Exhibit 9: Real GDP growth rate comparison (2022)

Exhibit 10: Volume of exports and imports growth (2018–25f)

Exhibit 11: Current account balance (2018–25f)

Exhibit 12: Top three commodity exports, % of total exports (2018–22)

Exhibit 13: Plastics and articles thereof, % of world total (2022)

Exhibit 14: Bank of Iran interest rates (July 2018 – July 2023)

Exhibit 15: Exchange rate and inflation (2018–25f)

Exhibit 16: General government deficit (2018–25f)

Exhibit 17: General government debt (2018–25f)

Exhibit 18: Unemployment rate (2018–25f)

Exhibit 19: Average annual wages (2018–25f)

Exhibit 20: Labor cost index (2018–25f)

Exhibit 21: Rural/urban share of total population (2005, 2015, 2025f)

Exhibit 22: Age-group share of total population (2005, 2015, 2025f)

Exhibit 23: Gender split (2005, 2015, 2025f)

Exhibit 24: Internet users as a percentage of total population, mobile penetration rate and broadband penetration rate (2022)

Exhibit 25: Number of patents granted per million population (2021)

Exhibit 26: High-technology exports, % of manufactured exports (2021 or latest)

Exhibit 27: Rule of law (rankings), 2022

Exhibit 28: Corruption perceptions index (rankings) (2022)

Exhibit 29: Renewable energy capacity (2017–21)

Exhibit 30: CO2 emissions (2018–22)

List of Figures

List of Figures

Exhibit 1: Iran’s performance in terms of its country risk analysis in comparison to Middle East and North Africa and the World average

Exhibit 2: Performance overview (Score: 1-100)

Exhibit 3: Broad categories and weights behind the index

Exhibit 4: Iran Stock Exchange Index – TEDPIX index (August 2021 – August 2022)

Exhibit 5: Key sectors’ contribution to the economy (2017-24f)

Exhibit 6: FDI inflows and FDI outflows & FDI inward stock FDI outward stock (2017-21)

Exhibit 7: Key infrastructure indicators

Exhibit 8: Real GDP and household consumption growth rate (2017-24f)

Exhibit 9: Real GDP growth rate comparison (2021)

Exhibit 10: Exports, imports and trade balance (2017-24f)

Exhibit 11: Current account balance (2017-24f)

Exhibit 12: Top three commodity exports, % of total exports (2017-20)

Exhibit 13: Mineral fuels, mineral oils and products of their distillation, % share of the World’s total (2018)

Exhibit 14: Interest rates (July 2017 – July 2022)

Exhibit 15: Exchange rate and inflation (2017-24f)

Exhibit 16: Public finance (2017-24f)

Exhibit 17: General government debt (2017-24f)

Exhibit 18: Employment/unemployment (2017-24f)

Exhibit 19: Average annual wages (2017-24f)

Exhibit 20: Male and female share in labor force (2017-24f)

Exhibit 21: Rural/urban share of total population (2005, 2015, 2025)

Exhibit 22: Age-group share of total population (2005, 2015, 2025)

Exhibit 23: Gender split (2005, 2015, 2025)

Exhibit 24: Internet users as a percentage of total population, mobile penetration rate and broadband penetration rate (2021)

Exhibit 25: Number of patents granted per million population (2021) or latest available

Exhibit 26: High technology exports, % of manufactured exports (2020 or latest available year)

Exhibit 27: Doing business in Iran 2020

Exhibit 28: Corruption perception index (Rankings) (2021)

Exhibit 29: Renewable energy, installed capacity (2016-20)

Exhibit 30: CO2 emissions (2017-20)

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