Iran PESTLE Insights – A Macroeconomic Outlook Report

Mining, manufacturing, and utilities contributed 29.9% to Iran’s gross value added (GVA) in 2023, followed by wholesale, retail, and hotel activities (12.9%) and agriculture (14.3%). In nominal terms, the three sectors are forecast to grow by 39.6%, 38.7%, and 40.4%, respectively, in 2024.

Tehran generated around 27.3% of Iran’s GDP and was home to 16.7% of the country’s population as of 2023, according to the MarketLine cities database.

Scope

Macroeconomic Country Outlook Reports evaluate a country's investment potential through its political, economic, social, technological, legal, and environmental (PESTLE) framework. This comprehensive analysis offers a holistic view of the economy, serving as a strategic tool to understand market dynamics, business potential, and operational direction. Each PESTLE factor is examined based on four parameters: current strengths, current challenges, future prospects, and future risks. These insights support strategic planning by highlighting opportunities and risks within the economy, helping businesses and investors make informed decisions. The report aims to provide a detailed understanding of the country's macroeconomic environment to facilitate effective decision-making and strategy development.

Reasons to buy

Macroeconomic Outlook Report identifies the potentials of the country as an investment destination by analyzing the political, economic, social, technological, legal and environmental (PESTLE) structure.

PESTLE Insights provides 360 degree view of the economy which can be used as a strategic tool to understand the market dynamics, business potentials and direction of operations

Along with providing the country’s snapshot, the report captures the risk factors pertaining to the macroeconomic risks, political environment, legal environment, demographic and social structure effectiveness, technology & infrastructure and natural and geographic aspects that might impact business.

This report also highlights key clusters/cities which contribute significantly to the country GDP and population along with major companies’ presence in these areas.

Companies mentioned

IKCO, Saipa

Table of Contents

Table of Contents

List of Exhibits

Did You Know?

Country Highlights

Key Economic Updates

Country Snapshot

Political Landscape

Economic Landscape

Social Landscape

Technological Landscape

Legal Landscape

Environmental Landscape

Outlook

List of Tables

Exhibit 1: Iran’s performance in country risk analysis in comparison to Middle East and North Africa and the World average

Exhibit 2: Performance overview (Score: 1-100)

Exhibit 3: Broad categories and weights behind the index

Exhibit 4: Iran TEDPIX index, (July 2022 – July 2023)

Exhibit 5: Key sectors contribution to the economy (2017–24f)

Exhibit 6: FDI inflows, FDI outflows, FDI inward stock and FDI outward stock (2018–22)

Exhibit 7: Key infrastructure indicators (2020)

Exhibit 8: Real GDP and household consumption growth rate (2018–25f)

Exhibit 9: Real GDP growth rate comparison (2022)

Exhibit 10: Volume of exports and imports growth (2018–25f)

Exhibit 11: Current account balance (2018–25f)

Exhibit 12: Top three commodity exports, % of total exports (2018–22)

Exhibit 13: Plastics and articles thereof, % of world total (2022)

Exhibit 14: Bank of Iran interest rates (July 2018 – July 2023)

Exhibit 15: Exchange rate and inflation (2018–25f)

Exhibit 16: General government deficit (2018–25f)

Exhibit 17: General government debt (2018–25f)

Exhibit 18: Unemployment rate (2018–25f)

Exhibit 19: Average annual wages (2018–25f)

Exhibit 20: Labor cost index (2018–25f)

Exhibit 21: Rural/urban share of total population (2005, 2015, 2025f)

Exhibit 22: Age-group share of total population (2005, 2015, 2025f)

Exhibit 23: Gender split (2005, 2015, 2025f)

Exhibit 24: Internet users as a percentage of total population, mobile penetration rate and broadband penetration rate (2022)

Exhibit 25: Number of patents granted per million population (2021)

Exhibit 26: High-technology exports, % of manufactured exports (2021 or latest)

Exhibit 27: Rule of law (rankings), 2022

Exhibit 28: Corruption perceptions index (rankings) (2022)

Exhibit 29: Renewable energy capacity (2017–21)

Exhibit 30: CO2 emissions (2018–22)

List of Figures

Exhibit 1: Iran’s performance in country risk analysis in comparison to Middle East and North Africa and the World average

Exhibit 2: Performance overview (score: 0–100)

Exhibit 3: Broad categories and weights behind the index

Exhibit 4: Key sectors’ contribution to the economy (2019–26f)

Exhibit 5: FDI inflows & outflows, FDI inward and outward stock (2019–23)

Exhibit 6: Key infrastructure indicators

Exhibit 7: Real GDP and household consumption growth rate (2019–26f)

Exhibit 8: Real GDP growth rate comparison (2023)

Exhibit 9: Volume of exports and imports growth (2019–26f)

Exhibit 10: Current account balance (2019–26f)

Exhibit 11: Top three commodity exports, % of total exports (2019–23)

Exhibit 12: Plastics and articles thereof exports, % of world total (2023)

Exhibit 13: Bank of Iran interest rates (September 2019–September 2024)

Exhibit 14: Exchange rate and inflation (2019–26f)

Exhibit 15: General government deficit (2019–26f)

Exhibit 16: General government debt (2019–26f)

Exhibit 17: Unemployment rate (2019–26f)

Exhibit 18: Average annual wages (2019–26f)

Exhibit 19: Labor cost index (2019–26f)

Exhibit 20: Rural/urban share of total population (2015, 2020, 2025f, 2030f)

Exhibit 21: Age-group share of total population (2015, 2020, 2025f, 2030f)

Exhibit 22: Gender split (2015, 2020, 2025f, 2030f)

Exhibit 23: Internet users as a percentage of total population, mobile penetration rate and broadband penetration rate (2023)

Exhibit 24: Number of patents granted per million population (2023)

Exhibit 25: High-technology exports, % of manufactured exports (2022 or latest)

Exhibit 26: Rule of Law (rankings), 2023

Exhibit 27: Corruption Perceptions Index (rankings) (2023)

Exhibit 28: Renewable energy capacity (2019–23)

Exhibit 29: CO2 emissions (2019–23)

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