Brazil PESTLE Insights – A Macroeconomic Outlook Report

Mining, manufacturing and utilities activities contributed 20.8% to the gross value added (GVA) in 2023, followed by financial intermediation, real estate and business activities (16.6%), wholesale, retail and hotels (14.2%). In nominal terms, the three sectors are expected to grow by 5.6%, 6.1% and 5.7%, respectively, in 2024.

Sao Paulo, Rio de Janeiro, Belo Horizonte are the major cities of Brazil that contributed 27.3% to the country’s GDP and comprised 19.9% of the country’s population in 2023, according to the MarketLine’s city database.

Scope

In August 2023, Brazilian President Luiz announced a plan to invest close to $200 billion in infrastructure, energy, and transportation over the next four years.

Reasons to buy

Macroeconomic Outlook Report identifies the potentials of the country as an investment destination by analyzing the political, economic, social, technological, legal and environmental (PESTLE) structure.

PESTLE Insights provides 360 degree view of the economy which can be used as a strategic tool to understand the market dynamics, business potentials and direction of operations

Along with providing the country’s snapshot, the report captures the risk factors pertaining to the macroeconomic risks, political environment, legal environment, demographic and social structure effectiveness, technology & infrastructure and natural and geographic aspects that might impact business.

This report also highlights key clusters/cities which contribute significantly to the country GDP and population along with major companies’ presence in these areas.

Companies mentioned

Fibria

Vale

Cosan

Table of Contents

Table of Contents

List of Exhibits

Did You Know?

Country Highlights

Key Economic Updates

Country Snapshot

Political Landscape

Economic Landscape

Social Landscape

Technological Landscape

Legal Landscape

Environmental Landscape

Outlook

List of Tables

Exhibit 1: Brazil’s performance in country risk analysis in comparison to Latin America and World average

Exhibit 2: Performance overview (score: 0-100)

Exhibit 3: Broad categories and weights behind the index

Exhibit 4: BOVESPA index, (February 2023 – February 2024)

Exhibit 5: Key sectors contribution to the economy (2019–26f)

Exhibit 6: FDI inflows and outflows (2018–22), FDI inward stock and outward stock (2018–22)

Exhibit 7: Greenfield FDI projects and net cross border M&A deals in Brazil (2018–22)

Exhibit 8: Key infrastructure indicators

Exhibit 9: Real GDP and household consumption growth rate (2019–26f)

Exhibit 10: Real GDP growth rate comparison (2023e)

Exhibit 11: Volume of exports and imports growth (2019–26f)

Exhibit 12: Current account balance (2019–26f)

Exhibit 13: Top three commodity exports, % of total exports (2018–22)

Exhibit 14: Mineral fuels, mineral oils and products of their distillation export, % of world total (2022)

Exhibit 15: Interest rates (January 2019 – January 2024)

Exhibit 16: Exchange rate and inflation (2019–26f)

Exhibit 17: Public finance (2019–26f)

Exhibit 18: General government debt (2019–26f)

Exhibit 19: Unemployment rate (2019–26f)

Exhibit 20: Average annual wages (2019–26f)

Exhibit 21: Labor cost index (2019–26f)

Exhibit 22: Rural/urban share of total population (1995, 2005, 2015, 2025f)

Exhibit 23: Age-group share of total population (1995, 2005, 2015, 2025f)

Exhibit 24: Gender split (1995, 2005, 2015, 2025f)

Exhibit 25: Internet users as a percentage of total population, mobile penetration rate and broadband penetration rate (2023e)

Exhibit 26: Number of patents granted per million population (2022)

Exhibit 27: High technology exports, % of manufactured exports (2022)

Exhibit 28: Rule of law index (rankings) 2023

Exhibit 29: Corruption perceptions index (rankings) (2023)

Exhibit 30: Renewable energy, installed capacity (2019–23e)

Exhibit 31: CO2 emissions (2018–22)

List of Figures

List of Figures

Exhibit 1: Brazil’s performance in terms of its country risk analysis in comparison to Latin America and the World

Exhibit 2: Performance overview (Score: 1–100)

Exhibit 3: Broad categories and weights behind the index

Exhibit 4: BOVESPA Index (January 2022 – January 2023)

Exhibit 5: Key sectors contribution to the economy (2018–25f)

Exhibit 6: FDI inflows to Brazil, FDI outflows from Brazil, and FDI inward stock, FDI outward stock (2017–21)

Exhibit 7: Value and number of Greenfield FDI projects in Brazil and of net cross border M&A deals in Brazil (2017–21)

Exhibit 8: Key infrastructure indicators

Exhibit 9: Real GDP and household consumption growth rate (2018–25f)

Exhibit 10: Real GDP growth rate comparison (2021)

Exhibit 11: Export, import and trade balance (2018–25f)

Exhibit 12: Current account balance (2018–25f)

Exhibit 13: Top three commodity exports, % of total exports (2017–21)

Exhibit 14: Ores, slag and ash, % of total World exports (2021)

Exhibit 15: Interest rates (December 2017 – December 2022)

Exhibit 16: Exchange rate and inflation (2018–2025f)

Exhibit 17: Public finance (2018–25f)

Exhibit 18: General government debt (2018–25f)

Exhibit 19: Unemployment rate (2018–25f)

Exhibit 20: Average annual wages (2018–25f)

Exhibit 21: Labor cost index (2018–25f)

Exhibit 22: Rural/urban share of total population (1995, 2005, 2015, 2025)

Exhibit 23: Age-group share of total population (1995, 2005, 2015, 2025)

Exhibit 24: Gender split (1995, 2005, 2015, 2025)

Exhibit 25: Internet users % of total population, mobile penetration rate and broadband penetration rate (2022e)

Exhibit 26: Number of patents granted per million population (2020)

Exhibit 27: High-technology exports (% of manufactured exports) (2021 or latest available)

Exhibit 28: Rule of law rankings (2022)

Exhibit 29: Corruption perceptions index (rankings) (2022)

Exhibit 30: CO2 emissions (2017–21)

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