Brazil PESTLE Insights – A Macroeconomic Outlook Report

In 2025, the largest share of overall gross value added (GVA) came from mining, manufacturing, and utilities, accounting for 19.8%. Financial intermediation, real estate, and business activities followed with a 17.2% contribution, while wholesale, retail trade, and hotels accounted for 11.7%. Looking ahead to 2026, these sectors are projected to expand in nominal terms by 6.6%, 7.2%, and 6.4%, respectively.

São Paulo, Rio de Janeiro, and Belo Horizonte are the major cities of Brazil that contributed 28.1% to the country’s GDP and accounted for 18.5% of its population in 2025, according to MarketLine’s cities database.

Scope

Macroeconomic Country Outlook Reports evaluate a country's investment potential through its political, economic, social, technological, legal, and environmental (PESTLE) framework. This comprehensive analysis offers a holistic view of the economy, serving as a strategic tool to understand market dynamics, business potential, and operational direction. Each PESTLE factor is examined based on four parameters: current strengths, current challenges, future prospects, and future risks. These insights support strategic planning by highlighting opportunities and risks within the economy, helping businesses and investors make informed decisions. The report aims to provide a detailed understanding of the country's macroeconomic environment to facilitate effective decision-making and strategy development.

Reasons to buy

Macroeconomic Outlook Report identifies the potentials of the country as an investment destination by analyzing the political, economic, social, technological, legal and environmental (PESTLE) structure.

PESTLE Insights provides 360 degree view of the economy which can be used as a strategic tool to understand the market dynamics, business potentials and direction of operations

Along with providing the country’s snapshot, the report captures the risk factors pertaining to the macroeconomic risks, political environment, legal environment, demographic and social structure effectiveness, technology & infrastructure and natural and geographic aspects that might impact business.

This report also highlights key clusters/cities which contribute significantly to the country GDP and population along with major companies’ presence in these areas.

Companies mentioned

Fibria

Vale

Cosan

Table of Contents

Table of Contents

List of Exhibits

Did You Know?

Country Highlights

Key Economic Updates and Impact of US Tariffs

Country Snapshot

Political Landscape

Economic Landscape

Social Landscape

Technological Landscape

Legal Landscape

Environmental Landscape

Outlook

List of Tables

Exhibit 1: Brazil’s performance in country risk analysis in comparison to Latin America and World average

Exhibit 2: Performance overview (score: 0-100)

Exhibit 3: Broad categories and weights behind the index

Exhibit 4: BOVESPA index, (February 2023 – February 2024)

Exhibit 5: Key sectors contribution to the economy (2019–26f)

Exhibit 6: FDI inflows and outflows (2018–22), FDI inward stock and outward stock (2018–22)

Exhibit 7: Greenfield FDI projects and net cross border M&A deals in Brazil (2018–22)

Exhibit 8: Key infrastructure indicators

Exhibit 9: Real GDP and household consumption growth rate (2019–26f)

Exhibit 10: Real GDP growth rate comparison (2023e)

Exhibit 11: Volume of exports and imports growth (2019–26f)

Exhibit 12: Current account balance (2019–26f)

Exhibit 13: Top three commodity exports, % of total exports (2018–22)

Exhibit 14: Mineral fuels, mineral oils and products of their distillation export, % of world total (2022)

Exhibit 15: Interest rates (January 2019 – January 2024)

Exhibit 16: Exchange rate and inflation (2019–26f)

Exhibit 17: Public finance (2019–26f)

Exhibit 18: General government debt (2019–26f)

Exhibit 19: Unemployment rate (2019–26f)

Exhibit 20: Average annual wages (2019–26f)

Exhibit 21: Labor cost index (2019–26f)

Exhibit 22: Rural/urban share of total population (1995, 2005, 2015, 2025f)

Exhibit 23: Age-group share of total population (1995, 2005, 2015, 2025f)

Exhibit 24: Gender split (1995, 2005, 2015, 2025f)

Exhibit 25: Internet users as a percentage of total population, mobile penetration rate and broadband penetration rate (2023e)

Exhibit 26: Number of patents granted per million population (2022)

Exhibit 27: High technology exports, % of manufactured exports (2022)

Exhibit 28: Rule of law index (rankings) 2023

Exhibit 29: Corruption perceptions index (rankings) (2023)

Exhibit 30: Renewable energy, installed capacity (2019–23e)

Exhibit 31: CO2 emissions (2018–22)

List of Figures

Exhibit 1: Brazil’s Performance in Country Risk Analysis in Comparison to the Americas and World Averages

Exhibit 2: Performance Overview (Score: 0–100)

Exhibit 3: Broad Categories and Weights Behind the Index

Exhibit 4: IBOV Index (August 2025 – August 2026)

Exhibit 5: Key Sectors’ Contribution to the Economy (2021–28f)

Exhibit 6: FDI Flows and FDI Stock (2021–25)

Exhibit 7: Greenfield FDI Projects and Net Cross-border M&A Deals (2021–25)

Exhibit 8: Key Infrastructure Indicators

Exhibit 9: Real GDP and Household Consumption Growth Rate (2021–28f)

Exhibit 10: Real GDP Growth Rate Comparison (2025)

Exhibit 11: Volume of Export and Import of Goods and Services Growth (2021–28f)

Exhibit 12: Current Account Balance (2021–28f)

Exhibit 13: Top Three Commodity Exports, % of Total Exports (2021–25)

Exhibit 14: Mineral Fuels, Mineral Oils and Products of Their Distillation, % of World Total (2025)

Exhibit 15: Interest Rates (August 2021 – August 2026)

Exhibit 16: Exchange Rate and Inflation (2021–28f)

Exhibit 17: Public Finance (2021–28f)

Exhibit 18: General Government Debt (2021–28f)

Exhibit 19: Unemployment Rate (2021–28f)

Exhibit 20: Annual Average Wages (2021–28f)

Exhibit 21: Labor Cost Index (2021–28f)

Exhibit 22: Rural-urban Share of Total Population (2020, 2025, 2030f, 2035f)

Exhibit 23: Age-group Share of Total Population (2020, 2025, 2030f, 2035f)

Exhibit 24: Gender Split (2020, 2025, 2030f, 2035f)

Exhibit 25: Internet Users as a Percentage of Total Population, Mobile and Broadband Penetration Rates (2025)

Exhibit 26: Number of Patents Granted Per Million Population (2025)

Exhibit 27: High-technology Exports, % of Manufactured Exports (2024 or latest available year)

Exhibit 28: Rule of Law Index (Rankings) 2025

Exhibit 29: Corruption Perceptions Index (Rankings) 2025

Exhibit 30: Renewable Electricity, Installed Capacity (2021–25)

Exhibit 31: CO2e Emissions (2021–25)

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